HIGH POINT, N.C., Feb. 25, 2009 – Dr. Jerry Fox, associate professor of economics in the Earl N. Phillips School of Business at High Point University, recently made a presentation at the Annual Meeting for the Academy of Economics and Finance in Pensacola, Fla. The event was held Feb. 11-14.
Fox presented “Partisan Divide on War and the Economy: Presidential Approval of G.W. Bush.” The study, which is a follow-up study to his previous research that was published in the Journal of Macroeconomics, examines the influence of Sept. 11, the Iraq War and the economy on presidential approval of George W. Bush across partisan groups and aggregate popularity. The analysis also examines the influence of underlying partisan preferences on overall popularity sentiment.
“Based on OLS, SUR and Logit analyses, a partisan divide occurs for war and the economy on Bush approval,” Fox says. “Basically, the paper examines the influence of Sept. 11, the Iraq War and economy on presidential approval for George W. Bush during the period of 2001-08. The analysis finds that Sept. 11 and the Iraq War influence Democratic opinions of Bush more than Republican opinions, whereas the economy influences Republican opinions of Bush more than Democratic opinions. All three factors – Iraq War, Sept. 11 and the economy – are substantial influences on Independent opinions and overall Bush approval.”
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