HIGH POINT, N.C., Oct. 14, 2014 – In the contest for the Governor of New Hampshire, the second HPU Poll of the 2014 fall semester finds incumbent Gov. Maggie Hassan 8 percentage points ahead of Republican candidate Walt Havenstein – receiving 50 percent and 42 percent support from likely voters, respectively.
“This is a race where there have been few major changes in the last few months,” says Brian McDonald, assistant director of the HPU Poll. “The fundamentals of the race still tend to favor the incumbent, and we do not at this time see much indication that her opponent is closing the gap very quickly.”
Likely voters – Governor race
If the election for New Hampshire Governor were held today would you be voting for (names rotated) Republican Walt Havenstein, Democrat Maggie Hassan, or some other candidate?
Walt Havenstein – 42 percent
Maggie Hassan – 50 percent
Other – 4 percent
Undecided – 4 percent
(New Hampshire likely voter sample surveyed Oct. 4-8, n = 824 and margin of sampling error approximately = +/- 3.5 percent)
SurveyUSA interviewed 850 state of New Hampshire registered voters Oct. 4 through Oct. 8, 2014, using Registration Based Sample (aka Voter List Sample) purchased from Aristotle in Washington, D.C. To be included in the sample, a voter needed to have voted in both 2010 and 2012, or needed to have newly registered to vote thereafter. Of the 850 registered voters, 824 were determined to be likely to vote on or before Nov. 4, 2014. This research was conducted 100 percent by telephone. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (72 percent of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (28 percent of likely voters) were contacted by live operators, who hand-dialed the telephone, secured the respondent’s cooperation, qualified the respondent, conducted the interview, and remained on the phone until the call was completed. Crosstabs of this study are available at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2014/10/PDF-New-Hampshire-Political.pdf.
Further results and methodological details from the most recent survey and past studies can be found at the Survey Research Center website at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/. The materials online include past press releases as well as memos summarizing the findings (including approval ratings) for each poll since 2010.
Dr. Martin Kifer, assistant professor of political science, serves as the director of the HPU Poll, and Brian McDonald serves as the assistant director of the HPU Poll.