HPU Poll: Trump at 40 Percent and Cooper at 45 Percent Approval Among North Carolinians

HIGH POINT, N.C., Feb. 15, 2019 – A High Point University Poll finds North Carolinians give President Donald Trump a job approval rating of 40 percent and Gov. Roy Cooper an approval rating of 45 percent, while a majority continue to say the country is headed in the wrong direction.

Approximately half (53 percent) of North Carolina residents say they disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president, and eight percent did not offer an opinion.

Not quite one in three (29 percent) of these same North Carolina residents say they disapprove of Cooper’s job performance, with another quarter (26 percent) refusing to offer an opinion either way.

Just over half (59 percent) of North Carolinians say the country is on the wrong track, compared to the 57 percent who said the same thing in the HPU Poll in February 2018. The most recent HPU Poll found that just less than one third (31 percent) of respondents thought the country was headed in the right direction, compared to 32 percent who said that in February 2018.

In other findings, only 20 percent of North Carolinians approve of how the U.S. Congress is doing its job. The result is about five percentage points higher than when the HPU Poll last asked a sample of all North Carolina adults for a rating of Congress in February 2018.

The North Carolina General Assembly had a job approval rating of 34 percent, with 31 percent disapproving. About one third (35 percent) refuse to offer a view either way.

“North Carolinians continue to feel the same about their elected officials as they did a year ago,” says Brian McDonald, associate director of the HPU Poll and adjunct instructor. “We continue to track their sentiment and look for any changes.”

All adults – Country Direction (February 2019)

Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

Right direction – 31 percent

Wrong track – 59 percent

Don’t know/refused – 10 percent

(All adult (North Carolina resident) phone and online sample, surveyed Feb. 4-11, 2019, n = 873 and credibility interval of +/- 4.4 percent) 

All adults – Presidential Job Approval (February 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

Approve – 40 percent

Disapprove – 53 percent

Don’t know/refuse – 8 percent

(All adult (North Carolina resident) phone and online sample, surveyed Feb. 4-11, 2019, n = 873 and credibility interval of +/- 4.4 percent)

All adults – Governor Job Approval (February 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Roy Cooper is handling his job as governor?

Approve – 45 percent

Disapprove – 29 percent

Don’t know/refuse – 26 percent

(All adult (North Carolina resident) phone and online sample, surveyed Feb. 4-11, 2019, n = 873 and credibility interval of +/- 4.4 percent)

All adults – Congressional Job Approval (February 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that the U.S. Congress is handling its job?

Approve – 20 percent

Disapprove – 61 percent

Don’t know/refused – 20 percent

(All adult (North Carolina resident) phone and online sample, surveyed Feb. 4-11, 2019, n = 873 and credibility interval of +/- 4.4 percent)

All adults – N.C. General Assembly Job Approval (February 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that the North Carolina General Assembly is handling its job?

Approve – 34 percent

Disapprove – 31 percent

Don’t know/refused – 35 percent

(All adult (North Carolina resident) phone and online sample, surveyed Feb. 4-11, 2019, n = 873 and credibility interval of +/- 4.4 percent)

The most recent HPU Poll was fielded by live interviewers at the High Point University Survey Research Center calling on Feb. 4-11, 2019 and an online survey fielded at the same time. The responses from a sample of all North Carolina counties came from 873 adults interviewed online (594 respondents) as well as landline or cellular telephones (279 respondents). The Survey Research Center contracted with Dynata, formerly Research Now SSI: https://www.dynata.com/ to acquire these samples, and fielded the online survey using its Qualtrics platform. This is a combined sample of live phone interviews and online interviews. The online sampling is from a panel of respondents, so their participation does not adhere to usual assumptions associated with random selection. Therefore, it is not appropriate to assign a classical margin of sampling error for the results. In this case, the SRC provides a credibility interval of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points to account for a traditional 95 percent confidence interval for the estimates (plus or minus 3.3 percentage points) and a design effect of 1.3 (based on the weighting). The data is weighted toward population estimates for age, gender, race, and education level based on U.S. Census numbers for North Carolina. Factors such as question wording and other methodological choices in conducting survey research can introduce additional error into the findings of opinion polls. Details from this survey are available at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2019/02/63memoB.pdf.

Further results and methodological details from the most recent survey and past studies can be found at the Survey Research Center website at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/. The materials online include past press releases as well as memos summarizing the findings (including approval ratings) for each poll since 2010.

The HPU Poll reports methodological details in accordance with the standards set out by AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, and the HPU Survey Research Center is a Charter Member of the Initiative. For more information, see

http://transparency.aapor.org/index.php/transparency.

You can follow the HPU Poll on Twitter at https://twitter.com/HPUSurveyCenter.

Dr. Martin Kifer, chair and associate professor of political science, serves as the director of the HPU Poll and Brian McDonald is the associate director of the HPU Poll.

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