HPU Poll: Presidential Approval at 41%, Congress Approval at 18%

HIGH POINT, N.C., Oct. 8, 2019 – A new High Point University Poll finds that North Carolinians give President Donald Trump a job approval rating of 41%, with just over half (52%) of North Carolina residents saying they disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president.

Approximately one year ago, an HPU Poll administered between Sept. 28 and Oct. 7 found the president with an approval rating of 44%.

More than half (60%) of North Carolinians said the country is on the wrong track, compared to the 51% who said the same thing about a year ago.  

The most recent HPU Poll finds that approximately one-third (33%) of poll respondents think the country is headed in the right direction compared to 39% who said that last year. 

Only 18% of North Carolinians approve of how U.S. Congress is doing its job, while almost 65% disapprove and 17% offer no view either way. Last year, the HPU Poll found a congressional approval rating of 25%.

“Not much has changed in our HPU Poll approval of President Trump,” says Brian McDonald, associate director of the HPU Poll and adjunct instructor. “The HPU Poll will continue to track the public’s reaction to the president through future polls.”

All adults – Country Direction (September/October 2019)

Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

Right direction – 33%

Wrong track – 60%

Don’t know/refused – 7%

(All adult North Carolina resident phone and online sample, surveyed Sept. 27 – Oct. 4, 2019, n = 1009 and credibility interval of +/- 4%)

All adults – Presidential Job Approval (September/October 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

Approve – 41%

Disapprove – 52%

Don’t know/refuse – 7%

(All adult North Carolina resident phone and online sample, surveyed Sept. 27 – Oct. 4, 2019, n = 1009 and credibility interval of +/- 4%)

All adults – U.S. Congress Approval (September/October 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is handling its job?

Approve – 18%

Disapprove – 65%

Don’t know/refused – 17%

(All adult North Carolina resident phone and online sample, surveyed Sept. 27 – Oct. 4, 2019, n = 1009 and credibility interval of +/- 4%)

The most recent HPU Poll was fielded by live interviewers at the High Point University Survey Research Center calling on Sept. 27 – Oct. 4, 2019 and an online survey fielded at the same time. The responses from a sample of all North Carolina counties came from 1009 adults interviewed online (754 respondents) as well as landline or cellular telephones (255 respondents). The Survey Research Center contracted with Dynata, formerly Research Now SSI: https://www.dynata.com/ to acquire these samples, and fielded the online survey using its Qualtrics platform. This is a combined sample of live phone interviews and online interviews. The online sampling is from a panel of respondents, so their participation does not adhere to usual assumptions associated with random selection. Therefore, it is not appropriate to assign a classical margin of sampling error for the results. In this case, the SRC provides a credibility interval of plus or minus 4 percentage points to account for a traditional 95% confidence interval for the estimates (plus or minus 3.1 percentage points) and a design effect of 1.3 (based on the weighting). The data is weighted toward population estimates for age, gender, race/ethnicity and education level, based on U.S. Census numbers for North Carolina. Factors such as question wording and other methodological choices in conducting survey research can introduce additional error into the findings of opinion polls. Details from this survey are available at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2019/10/67memoA.pdf.

Further results and methodological details from the most recent survey and past studies can be found at the Survey Research Center website at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/. The materials online include past press releases as well as memos summarizing the findings (including approval ratings) for each poll since 2010.

The HPU Poll reports methodological details in accordance with the standards set out by AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, and the HPU Survey Research Center is a Charter Member of the Initiative. For more information, see

http://transparency.aapor.org/index.php/transparency.

You can follow the HPU Poll on Twitter at https://twitter.com/HPUSurveyCenter.

Dr. Martin Kifer, chair and associate professor of political science, serves as the director of the HPU Poll and Brian McDonald is the associate director of the HPU Poll.

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