HPU Poll: Presidential Approval at 40%, NC Residents Split on Impeachment

HIGH POINT, N.C., Nov. 12, 2019 – A new High Point University Poll finds that North Carolinians give President Donald Trump a job approval rating of 40%, while 52% of North Carolina residents disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president.

The poll also finds that North Carolina residents are split on the question of impeachment with 44% in support of impeachment, 43% against impeachment and 13% who were unsure or refused to respond. 

The respondents who said they didn’t believe Trump should be impeached, as well as the respondents who didn’t respond or refused to answer, were asked an additional question: Is that because you think President Trump should be impeached but not removed from office, or because you don’t think he should be impeached at all? Of those respondents, 88% said Trump should not be impeached at all, 11% said he should be impeached but not removed from office, and 1% refused to offer an additional response.

HPU Poll respondents gave North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper an approval rating of 40%, while 31% of poll participants disapprove of the way he is handling his job. Meanwhile, 29% of these same North Carolina residents did not offer an opinion of Cooper’s job performance.

Overall, 31% of respondents approve of U.S. Senator Thom Tillis, while 35% of North Carolina residents said they disapprove. Slightly more than one-third (34%) do not offer a view one way or another.  

Only 22% of North Carolinians approve of how U.S. Congress in general is doing its job, while 57% disapprove and 22% offer no view either way.

“Not much has changed in our recent observations of President Trump and Governor Cooper’s approval ratings,” says Dr. Martin Kifer, associate professor of political science and director of the HPU Poll. “We are in a period in which North Carolinians are not giving high marks to elected officials in general. And, like many high profile issues these days, North Carolinians are not at all in agreement about President Trump and the ongoing impeachment inquiry.”

All adults – Country Direction (November 2019)

Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

Right direction – 34%

Wrong track – 56%

Don’t know/refused – 10%

(All adult North Carolina residents phone and online sample, surveyed Nov. 1-7, 2019, n = 1049 and credibility interval of +/- 3.6%) 

All adults – Presidential Impeachment (November 2019)

Do you think President Trump should be impeached and removed from office?

Yes – 44%

No – 43%

Don’t know/refuse – 13%

(All adult North Carolina residents phone and online sample, surveyed Nov. 1-7, 2019, n = 1049 and credibility interval of +/- 3.6%)

All adults – Presidential Impeachment (November 2019)

[Asked only of respondents who said no or don’t know/refused to answer the previous question]

Is that because you think President Trump should be impeached, but not removed from office or because you don’t think he should be impeached at all?

Should be impeached but not removed from office – 11%

Should not be impeached at all – 88%

Refuse – 1%

(All adult North Carolina residents phone and online sample who said President Trump should NOT be impeached or did not know/refused, surveyed Nov. 1-7, 2019, n = 464 and credibility interval of +/- 5.4%)

All adults – Presidential Job Approval (November 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

Approve – 40%

Disapprove – 52%

Don’t know/refuse – 8%

(All adult North Carolina residents phone and online sample, surveyed Nov. 1-7, 2019, n = 1049 and credibility interval of +/- 3.6%)

All adults – Governor Roy Cooper Approval (November 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Roy Cooper is handling his job as Governor?

Approve – 40%

Disapprove – 31%

Don’t know/refuse – 29%

(All adult North Carolina residents phone and online sample, surveyed Nov. 1-7, 2019, n = 1049 and credibility interval of +/- 3.6%)

All adults – U.S. Senator Thom Tillis Approval (November 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Thom Tillis is handling his job as United States Senator?

Approve – 31%

Disapprove – 35%

Don’t know/refuse – 34%

(All adult North Carolina residents phone and online sample, surveyed Nov. 1-7, 2019, n = 1049 and credibility interval of +/- 3.6%)

All adults – U.S. Congress Approval (November 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is handling its job?

Approve – 22%

Disapprove – 57%

Don’t know/refused – 22%

(All adult North Carolina residents phone and online sample, surveyed Nov. 1-7, 2019, n = 1049 and credibility interval of +/- 3.6%)

The most recent HPU Poll was fielded by live interviewers at the High Point University Survey Research Center calling on November 1 – 7, 2019 and an online survey fielded at the same time. The responses from a sample of all North Carolina counties came from 1049 adults interviewed online (801 respondents) as well as landline or cellular telephones (248 respondents). The Survey Research Center contracted with Dynata, formerly Research Now SSI: https://www.dynata.com/ to acquire these samples, and fielded the online survey using its Qualtrics platform. This is a combined sample of live phone interviews and online interviews. The online sampling is from a panel of respondents, so their participation does not adhere to usual assumptions associated with random selection. Therefore, it is not appropriate to assign a classical margin of sampling error for the results. In this case, the SRC provides a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points to account for a traditional 95% confidence interval for the estimates (plus or minus 3 percentage points) and a design effect of 1.2 (based on the weighting). The data is weighted toward population estimates for age, gender, race/ethnicity, and education level based on U.S. Census numbers for North Carolina. Factors such as question wording and other methodological choices in conducting survey research can introduce additional error into the findings of opinion polls. Details from this survey are available at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2019/11/68memoA.pdf.

Further results and methodological details from the most recent survey and past studies can be found at the Survey Research Center website at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/. The materials online include past press releases as well as memos summarizing the findings (including approval ratings) for each poll since 2010.

The HPU Poll reports methodological details in accordance with the standards set out by AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, and the HPU Survey Research Center is a Charter Member of the Initiative. For more information, see

http://transparency.aapor.org/index.php/transparency.

You can follow the HPU Poll on Twitter at https://twitter.com/HPUSurveyCenter.

Dr. Martin Kifer, chair and associate professor of political science, serves as the director of the HPU Poll and Brian McDonald is the associate director of the HPU Poll.

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