HPU Poll: President at 41 Percent Approval Among North Carolinians

HIGH POINT, N.C., Feb. 27, 2019 – A new High Point University Poll finds that North Carolinians give President Donald Trump a job approval rating of 41 percent. Approximately half (50 percent) of North Carolina residents say they disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president.

Just over half (59 percent) of North Carolinians say the country is on the wrong track, compared to the 57 percent who said the same thing in the HPU Poll in February 2018. The most recent HPU Poll found just less than a third (30 percent) of respondents thought the country was headed in the right direction, compared to 32 percent who say that in February 2018.

U.S. Sens. Richard Burr and Thom Tillis received approval ratings of 24 percent and 23 percent, respectively. But 43 percent of these same North Carolina residents did not offer an opinion of Burr’s job performance, and 44 percent did not offer an opinion on Tillis’ work in the U.S. Senate.

“Consistency between our current poll and our February 2018 poll do not indicate any significant shift in North Carolina’s public opinion on the president or the direction of the country,” says Brian McDonald, associate director of the HPU Poll and adjunct instructor. “We’ll watch closely on how the state is feeling through future polls to see if any of these views shift in response to current events.”

All adults – Country Direction (February 2019)

Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

Right direction – 30 percent

Wrong track – 59 percent

Don’t know/refused – 11 percent

(All adult (North Carolina resident) phone and online sample, surveyed Feb. 18-24, 2019, n = 881 and credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percent)

All adults – Presidential Job Approval (February 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

Approve – 41 percent

Disapprove – 50 percent

Don’t know/refuse – 9 percent

(All adult (North Carolina resident) phone and online sample, surveyed Feb. 18-24, 2019, n = 881 and credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percent)

All adults – U.S. Senator Burr Job Approval (February 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Richard Burr is handling his job as U.S. Senator?

Approve – 24 percent

Disapprove – 33 percent

Don’t know/refuse – 43 percent

(All adult (North Carolina resident) phone and online sample, surveyed Feb. 18-24, 2019, n = 881 and credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percent) 

All adults – U.S. Senator Tillis Job Approval (February 2019)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Thom Tillis is handling his job as U.S. Senator?

Approve – 23 percent

Disapprove – 33 percent

Don’t know/refused – 44 percent

(All adult (North Carolina resident) phone and online sample, surveyed Feb. 18-24, 2019, n = 881 and credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percent)

The most recent HPU Poll was fielded by live interviewers at the High Point University Survey Research Center calling on Feb. 18-24, 2019 and an online survey fielded at the same time. The responses from a sample of all North Carolina counties came from 881 adults interviewed online (599 respondents) as well as landline or cellular telephones (282 respondents). The Survey Research Center contracted with Dynata, formerly Research Now SSI: https://www.dynata.com/ to acquire these samples, and fielded the online survey using its Qualtrics platform. This is a combined sample of live phone interviews and online interviews. The online sampling is from a panel of respondents, so their participation does not adhere to usual assumptions associated with random selection. Therefore, it is not appropriate to assign a classical margin of sampling error for the results. In this case, the SRC provides a credibility interval of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points to account for a traditional 95 percent confidence interval for the estimates (plus or minus 3.3 percentage points) and a design effect of 1.4 (based on the weighting). The data is weighted toward population estimates for age, gender, race, and education level based on U.S. Census numbers for North Carolina. Factors such as question wording and other methodological choices in conducting survey research can introduce additional error into the findings of opinion polls. Details from this survey are available at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2019/02/64memoA.pdf.

Further results and methodological details from the most recent survey and past studies can be found at the Survey Research Center website at http://www.highpoint.edu/src/. The materials online include past press releases as well as memos summarizing the findings (including approval ratings) for each poll since 2010.

The HPU Poll reports methodological details in accordance with the standards set out by AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, and the HPU Survey Research Center is a Charter Member of the Initiative. For more information, see

http://transparency.aapor.org/index.php/transparency.

You can follow the HPU Poll on Twitter at https://twitter.com/HPUSurveyCenter.

Dr. Martin Kifer, chair and associate professor of political science, serves as the director of the HPU Poll and Brian McDonald is the associate director of the HPU Poll.

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