HPU Poll: North Carolinians Now See Russia as Biggest Threat to U.S. National Security

Apr 08th, 2022

HPU Poll: North Carolinians Now See Russia as Biggest Threat to U.S. National Security

HIGH POINT, N.C., April 8, 2022 – In the latest High Point University Poll, many North Carolinians now see Russia as the biggest threat to U.S. national security, which is a change from prior to Russia’s large-scale invasion of Ukraine when respondents saw Russia and China as equally threatening. When asked which country they perceive as the single biggest threat to U.S. national security, the most North Carolinians said Russia (41%), followed by China (32%). North Korea (10%) and Iran (3%) were less likely to be seen as the biggest threat to U.S. national security.

More than half (57%) of North Carolinians said they now see Russia as an enemy of the U.S. rather than as a partner (9%) or competitor (21%) of the U.S.

A majority of North Carolinians (56%) said they have heard a lot about Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine. About two out of five (38%) said they had heard a little bit about the situation, and only 3% said they had heard nothing at all about Russia’s military buildup on its border with Ukraine.

More than half (56%) of North Carolinians see Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine as a major threat to U.S. interests, while another quarter (24%) see the Russian military invasion as a minor threat to U.S. interests. Relatively few North Carolinians see no threat (6%) to U.S. interests in Russia’s actions toward Ukraine.

Two out of five (41%) North Carolina residents said the Biden Administration had been very effective (16%) or somewhat effective (25%) in dealing with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. A somewhat larger percentage (48%) of people in North Carolina said the Biden Administration’s efforts to deal with Russia’s invasion have not been very effective (24%) or have been not at all effective (24%).

North Carolinians were also somewhat divided over the U.S. role in the world and the relative level of safety for the U.S. and its people in the international system.

More North Carolina residents (47%) said the U.S. should take an active part in world affairs than the approximately one-third (34%) who said the U.S. should stay out of world affairs. More than two-thirds (70%) of North Carolina’s public see the world becoming more dangerous for the U.S. and the American people.

A majority of North Carolina residents (51%) said they have heard a lot about refugees leaving Ukraine for other countries. About two out of five adults said the U.S. should encourage more Ukrainian refugees to settle in the U.S. (42%) and North Carolina (41%). About a third said the U.S. should not encourage more Ukrainian refugees to settle in the U.S. (32%) and North Carolina (34%). More than one-quarter are unsure whether the U.S. should encourage more refugees to settle in the U.S. (26%) or North Carolina (25%).

“As Russia prepared for and then carried out its large-scale invasion of Ukraine, many people in North Carolina were paying close attention, and we have evidence in this and other recent HPU Polls that their views of Russia have become increasingly negative,” said Dr. Martin Kifer, director of the HPU Survey Research Center and chair of the HPU political science department. “As the conflict continues, we are learning more about how North Carolinians perceive the war and the people affected by it.”

 

All adults – Take an Active Part or Stay Out of Foreign Affairs (March 2022)

Now we would like to ask you some questions about foreign affairs issues. Do you think it will be best for the future of the country if we take an active part in world affairs, or if we stay out of world affairs?

Active part – 47%
Stay out – 34%
Unsure – 18%

(Telephone and online interviews with North Carolina residents, surveyed Mar. 18 – Mar. 31, 2022, n = 889 and credibility interval is +/- 3.5%)

HPU Poll Safer or More Dangerous

All adults – Safer or More Dangerous World (March 2022)

Thinking about current U.S. relations with the rest of the world, would you say that the world is becoming safer or more dangerous for the U.S. and the American people?

Safer – 14%
More dangerous – 70%
Unsure – 15%

(Telephone and online interviews with North Carolina residents, surveyed Mar. 18 – Mar. 31, 2022, n = 889 and credibility interval is +/- 3.5%)

 

NC residents – Single Biggest National Security Threat to US (March 2022)

Which of these countries do you perceive as the single biggest threat to U.S. national security? (COUNTRIES PRESENTED IN RANDOMIZED ORDER)

Russia – 41%

China – 32%

North Korea – 10%

Iran – 3%

Some other country – 1%

Don’t know/Refuse/Unsure – 14%

(Telephone and online interviews with North Carolina residents, surveyed Mar. 18 – Mar. 31, 2022, n = 889 and credibility interval is +/- 3.5%)

 

NC residents – US Relationship with Russia (March 2022)

On balance, do you think of Russia as a partner of the U.S., a competitor of the U.S. or an enemy of the U.S.?

Partner – 9%

Competitor – 21%

Enemy – 57%

Unsure – 14%

(Telephone and online interviews with North Carolina residents, surveyed Mar. 18 – Mar. 31, 2022, n = 889 and credibility interval is +/- 3.5%)

 

NC residents – How Much Heard about Russian Invasion (March 2022)

How much have you read or heard about Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine?

A lot – 56%

A little – 38%

Nothing at all – 3%

Unsure – 3%

(Telephone and online interviews with North Carolina residents, surveyed Mar. 18 – Mar. 31, 2022, n = 889 and credibility interval is +/- 3.5%)

 

NC residents – How Much Threat to US Interests is Russian Invasion (March 2022)

How much of a threat to U.S. interests is Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine?

A major threat – 56%

A minor threat – 24%

Not a threat – 6%

Unsure – 14%

(Telephone and online interviews with North Carolina residents, surveyed Mar. 18 – Mar. 31, 2022, n = 889 and credibility interval is +/- 3.5%)

 

NC residents – Biden Administration Effectiveness Against Russian Invasion (March 2022)

How effective do you think the Biden Administration has been in dealing with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine?

Very effective – 16%

Somewhat effective – 25%

Not very effective – 24%

Not at all effective – 24%

Unsure – 11%

(Telephone and online interviews with North Carolina residents, surveyed Mar. 18 – Mar. 31, 2022, n = 889 and credibility interval is +/- 3.5%)

 

NC residents – How Much Heard about Ukrainian Refugees (March 2022)

How much have you heard about refugees leaving Ukraine for other countries?

A lot – 51%

A little – 37%

Nothing at all – 8%

Unsure – 5%

(Telephone and online interviews with North Carolina residents, surveyed Mar. 18 – Mar. 31, 2022, n = 889 and credibility interval is +/- 3.5%)

 

NC residents – Encouraging More Ukrainian Refugees to Settle in the U.S.  (March 2022)

Do you think the United States should encourage more Ukrainian refugees to settle in the US?

Yes – 42%

No – 32%

Unsure – 26%

(Telephone and online interviews with North Carolina residents, surveyed Mar. 18 – Mar. 31, 2022, n = 889 and credibility interval is +/- 3.5%)

 

NC residents – Encouraging More Ukrainian Refugees to Settle in North Carolina (March 2022)

Do you think the United States should encourage more Ukrainian refugees to settle in North Carolina?

Yes – 41%

No – 34%

Unsure – 25%

(Telephone and online interviews with North Carolina residents, surveyed Mar. 18 – Mar. 31, 2022, n = 889 and credibility interval is +/- 3.5%)

The most recent HPU Poll was fielded by live interviewers at the High Point University Survey Research Center calling on March 18 through March 31, 2022, and an online survey was fielded at the same time. The responses from a sample of all North Carolina counties came from 889 adults interviewed online (803 respondents) as well as landline or cellular telephones (86 respondents). The Survey Research Center contracted with dynata, formerly Research Now SSI, to acquire these samples, and fielded the online survey using the SRC’s Qualtrics platform. This is a combined sample of live phone interviews and online interviews. The online sampling is from a panel of respondents, and their participation does not adhere to usual assumptions associated with random selection. Therefore, it is not appropriate to assign a classic margin of sampling error for the results. In this case, the SRC provides a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points to account for a traditional 95% confidence interval for the estimates (plus or minus 3.3 percentage points) and a design effect of 1.12 (based on the weighting). The data is weighted toward population estimates for age, gender, race/ethnicity, and education based on U.S. Census numbers for North Carolina. The final stage of weighting ensures proper weighting of the online and live interviews. Factors such as question wording and other methodological choices in conducting survey research can introduce additional errors into the findings of opinion polls. Details from this survey are available here.

Further results and methodological details from the most recent survey and past studies can be found at the Survey Research Center website. The materials online include past press releases as well as memos summarizing the findings (including approval ratings) for each poll since 2010.

The HPU Poll reports methodological details in accordance with the standards set out by AAPOR’s Transparency Initiative, and the HPU Survey Research Center is a Charter Member of the Initiative. See more information here.

You can follow the HPU Poll on Twitter here.

Dr. Martin Kifer, chair and associate professor of political science, serves as the director of the HPU Poll, and Brian McDonald is the associate director of the HPU Poll.